Market Summary

Slaughter cows sharply higher again, up $10-15, some cows getting very close to $2.40. Bulls steady. All classes of feeder cattle higher.  Just a few comments about the cattle market as we head into summer. Feeder cattle supplies are tightening, finally, and I believe that is the main reason for the strength in the market.  Demand for beef is exceptional which is also providing good support. However, there is some reason for caution going forward.  Government policy in the US, including record government spending and deficits, increasing unreliability as a trade partner, and an increasing loss of confidence by the world financial community in the US is causing large losses in the stock markets which is spilling over into the commodity markets.  As well, the US is now exporting no beef at all to China which I can’t help but think will start to show up in the market as some point.  The US continues to make big announcements and then back down so we hope this continues.  And finally, most of the US cow herd is located in severe drought  areas. This is really affecting the ability of the US to rebuild its cow herd. We may see more feedlot placements in the months ahead, because of the drought, which may keep a damper on the fed market. Taking all this into consideration I think that we are still in a bullish feeder market and prices will exceed last years levels on all classes of cattle. However, maybe the peak in cattle pricing is in sight?  We will still have a crazy high market for many years but it might stop going up so fast.  There’s a few clouds on the horizon now.  Ian

Market News

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